|
|
Incumb. Pres. |
Vice
Pres. Exper. |
Party
Loyalist |
Centrist
in party |
Front
runner |
Win
early states |
South
critical |
Unexpec-ted
event |
|
1968
Dem |
|
Hump- hrey |
Hump- hrey |
Hump- hrey |
|
|
|
|
|
1968
Rep |
|
Nixon |
Nixon |
Nixon |
|
|
|
|
|
1972
Dem |
|
|
|
|
|
Mc- govern |
|
|
|
1972
Rep |
Nixon |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
1976
Dem |
|
|
|
Carter |
|
Carter |
|
|
|
1976
Rep |
Ford |
|
|
Ford |
|
|
|
|
|
1980
Dem |
Carter |
|
|
Carter |
|
|
|
Carter |
|
1980
Rep |
|
|
|
|
Reagan |
|
|
Reagan |
|
1984
Dem |
|
Mon-dale |
Mon- dale |
|
|
|
Mon- dale |
|
|
1984
Rep |
Reagan |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
1988
Dem |
|
|
|
|
|
Dukakis |
|
|
|
1988
Rep |
|
Bush1 |
|
|
|
|
Bush |
|
|
1992
Dem |
|
|
|
Clinton |
|
|
Clinton |
|
|
1992
Rep |
Bush1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
1996
Dem |
Clinton |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
1996
Rep |
|
|
Dole |
|
Dole |
|
|
|
|
2000
Dem |
|
Gore |
Gore |
Gore |
Gore |
|
|
|
|
2000
Rep |
|
|
Bush2 |
|
|
|
|
Bush2 |
|
2004
Dem |
|
|
Kerry |
|
|
|
|
Kerry |
|
2004
Rep |
Bush2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
2008
Dem |
|
|
|
|
|
Obama |
|
Obama |
|
2008
Rep |
|
|
McCain |
|
|
McCain |
|
|
|
2012
Dem |
Obama |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
2012
Rep |
|
|
|
Romney |
Romney |
|
|
|
|
2016
Dem |
|
|
|
Clinton |
Clinton |
|
|
|
|
2016
Rep |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
No. |
8 |
5 |
9 |
9 |
6 |
5 |
3 |
6 |
FACTORS CAUSING PARTY PRESIDENTIAL NOMINATIONS