Table 1

Party Identification of South States in Recent Years

 

YEAR                 RIM SOUTH STATES                            DEEP SOUTH STATES

 

State

Ark

Fla

N.C.

Tenn

Tex

Vir

Alab

Ga.

La

Miss

S.C.

1970

 

22*

 

NA

 

26#

 

NA

 

16

 

NA

 

NA

 

NA

 

NA

 

NA

 

NA

1972

 

NA

 

NA

 

24#

 

NA

 

NA

 

NA

 

NA

 

NA

 

NA

 

NA

 

NA

1974

 

NA

 

NA

 

NA

 

NA

 

NA

 

NA

 

NA

 

NA

 

NA

 

NA

 

NA

1976

 

NA

 

NA

 

NA

 

NA

 

NA

 

35*

 

NA

 

NA

 

NA

 

11d

 

NA

1978

 

26

 

34

 

29

 

34

 

28

 

34*

 

22

 

18

 

18

 

25

 

31

1980

 

21*

 

32

 

NA

 

37#

 

33

 

40*

 

NA

 

NA

 

NA

 

NA

 

45

1982

 

24*

 

45

 

36

 

NA

 

32

 

43

 

25

 

22+

 

NA

 

23

 

NA

1984

 

31*

 

43

 

40

 

48#

 

NA

 

54

 

38

 

NA

 

NA

 

28

 

NA

1986

 

25*

 

54

 

37

 

NA

 

39

 

NA

 

40

 

33+

 

31

 

35

 

42

1988

 

NA

 

50

 

40*

 

NA

 

41#

 

44

 

45

 

NA

 

NA

 

34

 

NA

1990

 

NA

 

55

 

46

 

46

 

49

 

48#

 

40

 

NA

 

NA

 

37

 

52

1992

 

NA

 

45

 

47

 

49

 

50

 

NA

 

47

 

43

 

NA

 

43

 

52

1994

 

25

 

46

 

50*

 

48

 

NA

 

NA

 

46

 

49

 

NA

 

42

 

54

1996

 

32*

 

50+

 

51

 

52

 

NA

 

54

 

49

 

43

 

35+

 

46

 

51

1998

 

38*

 

47

 

53

 

48

 

NA

 

52

 

46

 

NA

 

NA

 

43

 

NA

2000

 

39

 

49+

 

49*

 

47*

 

55+

 

51+

 

48#

 

47+

 

41+

 

40

 

54+

2002

 

46

 

NA

 

50

 

54*

 

60

 

NA

 

49#

 

NA

 

NA

 

49

 

NA

2004

 

46

 

53+

 

51

 

52*

 

57+

 

53+

 

NA

 

55+

 

49+

 

51

 

57+

2006

 

NA

 

53+

 

NA

 

55

 

NA

 

NA

 

NA

 

58+

 

NA

 

51

 

NA

 

Note: Cell entries are % Republican of two-party identifiers. Partisan groupings exclude independent leaners (except for 1992, 1994, and 1998 Florida poll results).

+ From exit poll of voters, not all adults.

* Pooled results from more than one poll conducted that year.

# Drawn from one or more polls from adjacent, odd-numbered years (except for 1970 North Carolina, where poll conducted two years before)

 

Sources: For Arkansas, see Barth, Blair, and Dumas (1999); Blair and Savage (1988), Wright, Erikson, and McIver (1985), Barth (2003), Blair and Barth (2005), Lamis (1990), Dowdle and Wekkin (2007). For Florida, see Carver and Fiedler (1999); Wright, Erikson, and McIver (1985); Parker (1988); Tenpas, Hulbary, and Bowman (1997); Florida Annual Policy Survey (Odom Institute for Research in Social Science); Scicchitano and Scher (2007); Bullock and Rozell (2007b); a 2006 CNN exit poll. For North Carolina, see Lamis (1990); Christensen and Fleer (1999); Fleer, Lowery, and Prysby (1988); Wright, Erikson, and McIver (1985); Prysby (2007); polls archived at the Odum Institute for Research in Social Science at UNC, Chapel Hill (website: http://152.2.32.107/odum/jsp/content_node.jsp?nodeid=210). For Tennessee, see Bruce, Clark, Gant, and Daugherty (2003); Mason (2003); Lamis (1990); Ashford and Locker (1999); Wright, Erikson, and McIver (1985); Swansbrough and Brodsky (1988); the MTSU Poll (2000-6), http://www.mtsusurveygroup.org/mtpoll/. For Texas, see Lamis (1990); Murray and Attlesey (1999); Vedlitz, Dyer, and Hill (1988); Feigert and McWilliams (1995); Feigert and Todd (1994); Bullock and Rozell (2007a, b); Feigert, Miller, Cunningham, and Burlage (2003). For Virginia, see Rozell (2007); Lamis (1990); Edds and Morris (1999); McGlennon (1988); Bullock and Rozell (2007b); the Commonwealth Poll (July 1988, January 1991, July 1996, May 1998) cited in Shaffer, Pierce, and Kohnke (2000). For Alabama, see Wright, Erikson, and McIver (1985), Cotter and Gordon (1999), Cotter (2002), Stanley (2003), Cotter (2007), communication from Professor Patrick R. Cotter. For Georgia, see  Lamis (1990); Binford, Baxter, and Sturrock (1999); Wright, Erikson, and McIver (1985); Binford (1988); Bullock and Rozell (2007b); and website http://www.cnn.com/ELECTION/2006/pages/results/states/GA/G/00/epolls.0.html. For Louisiana, see Lamis (1990); Renwick, Parent, and Wardlaw (1999); Parent and Perry (2007); Wright, Erikson, and McIver (1985), Parent (1988), Hadley and Knuckey (1997), Bullock and Rozell (2007b). For Mississippi, see Wright, Erikson, and McIver (1985); Bass and DeVries (1977); Breaux, Shaffer, and Gresham (2007); the Mississippi Poll project (see: http://sds17.pspa.msstate.edu/poll/poll.html). For South Carolina, see Broach and Bandy (1999), Graham (1988), Lamis (1990), Wright, Erikson, and McIver (1985), Steed and Moreland (2007), Bullock and Rozell (2007b).