Table 1
Party Identification of South States in Recent Years
YEAR RIM SOUTH STATES DEEP SOUTH STATES
State |
Ark |
Fla |
N.C. |
Tenn |
Tex |
Vir |
Alab |
Ga. |
La |
Miss |
S.C. |
1970 |
22* |
NA |
26# |
NA |
16 |
NA |
NA |
NA |
NA |
NA |
NA |
1972 |
NA |
NA |
24# |
NA |
NA |
NA |
NA |
NA |
NA |
NA |
NA |
1974 |
NA |
NA |
NA |
NA |
NA |
NA |
NA |
NA |
NA |
NA |
NA |
1976 |
NA |
NA |
NA |
NA |
NA |
35* |
NA |
NA |
NA |
11d |
NA |
1978 |
26 |
34 |
29 |
34 |
28 |
34* |
22 |
18 |
18 |
25 |
31 |
1980 |
21* |
32 |
NA |
37# |
33 |
40* |
NA |
NA |
NA |
NA |
45 |
1982 |
24* |
45 |
36 |
NA |
32 |
43 |
25 |
22+ |
NA |
23 |
NA |
1984 |
31* |
43 |
40 |
48# |
NA |
54 |
38 |
NA |
NA |
28 |
NA |
1986 |
25* |
54 |
37 |
NA |
39 |
NA |
40 |
33+ |
31 |
35 |
42 |
1988 |
NA |
50 |
40* |
NA |
41# |
44 |
45 |
NA |
NA |
34 |
NA |
1990 |
NA |
55 |
46 |
46 |
49 |
48# |
40 |
NA |
NA |
37 |
52 |
1992 |
NA |
45 |
47 |
49 |
50 |
NA |
47 |
43 |
NA |
43 |
52 |
1994 |
25 |
46 |
50* |
48 |
NA |
NA |
46 |
49 |
NA |
42 |
54 |
1996 |
32* |
50+ |
51 |
52 |
NA |
54 |
49 |
43 |
35+ |
46 |
51 |
1998 |
38* |
47 |
53 |
48 |
NA |
52 |
46 |
NA |
NA |
43 |
NA |
2000 |
39 |
49+ |
49* |
47* |
55+ |
51+ |
48# |
47+ |
41+ |
40 |
54+ |
2002 |
46 |
NA |
50 |
54* |
60 |
NA |
49# |
NA |
NA |
49 |
NA |
2004 |
46 |
53+ |
51 |
52* |
57+ |
53+ |
NA |
55+ |
49+ |
51 |
57+ |
2006 |
NA |
53+ |
NA |
55 |
NA |
NA |
NA |
58+ |
NA |
51 |
NA |
Note: Cell entries are % Republican of two-party identifiers. Partisan groupings exclude independent leaners (except for 1992, 1994, and 1998 Florida poll results).
+
From exit poll of voters, not all adults.
*
Pooled results from more than one poll conducted that year.
#
Drawn from one or more polls from adjacent, odd-numbered years (except for 1970
North Carolina, where poll conducted two years before)
Sources: For Arkansas, see Barth, Blair, and Dumas
(1999); Blair and Savage (1988), Wright, Erikson, and McIver (1985), Barth
(2003), Blair and Barth (2005), Lamis (1990), Dowdle and Wekkin (2007). For Florida,
see Carver and Fiedler (1999); Wright, Erikson, and McIver (1985); Parker
(1988); Tenpas, Hulbary, and Bowman (1997); Florida Annual Policy Survey (Odom
Institute for Research in Social Science); Scicchitano and Scher (2007);
Bullock and Rozell (2007b); a 2006 CNN exit poll. For North Carolina,
see Lamis (1990); Christensen and Fleer (1999); Fleer, Lowery, and Prysby
(1988); Wright, Erikson, and McIver (1985); Prysby (2007); polls archived at
the Odum Institute for Research in Social Science at UNC, Chapel Hill (website:
http://152.2.32.107/odum/jsp/content_node.jsp?nodeid=210).
For Tennessee, see Bruce, Clark, Gant, and Daugherty (2003); Mason
(2003); Lamis (1990); Ashford and Locker (1999); Wright, Erikson, and McIver
(1985); Swansbrough and Brodsky (1988); the MTSU Poll (2000-6), http://www.mtsusurveygroup.org/mtpoll/.
For Texas, see Lamis (1990); Murray and Attlesey (1999); Vedlitz,
Dyer, and Hill (1988); Feigert and McWilliams (1995); Feigert and Todd (1994);
Bullock and Rozell (2007a, b); Feigert, Miller, Cunningham, and Burlage (2003).
For Virginia, see Rozell (2007); Lamis (1990); Edds and Morris (1999);
McGlennon (1988); Bullock and Rozell (2007b); the Commonwealth Poll (July 1988,
January 1991, July 1996, May 1998) cited in Shaffer, Pierce, and Kohnke (2000).
For Alabama, see Wright, Erikson, and McIver (1985), Cotter
and Gordon (1999), Cotter (2002), Stanley (2003), Cotter (2007), communication
from Professor Patrick R. Cotter. For Georgia, see Lamis (1990); Binford, Baxter, and Sturrock (1999);
Wright, Erikson, and McIver (1985); Binford (1988); Bullock and Rozell (2007b);
and website http://www.cnn.com/ELECTION/2006/pages/results/states/GA/G/00/epolls.0.html.
For Louisiana, see Lamis (1990); Renwick, Parent, and Wardlaw (1999);
Parent and Perry (2007); Wright, Erikson, and McIver (1985), Parent (1988), Hadley
and Knuckey (1997), Bullock and Rozell (2007b). For Mississippi, see Wright, Erikson, and McIver
(1985); Bass and DeVries (1977); Breaux, Shaffer, and Gresham (2007); the
Mississippi Poll project (see: http://sds17.pspa.msstate.edu/poll/poll.html).
For South Carolina, see Broach and Bandy (1999), Graham (1988), Lamis
(1990), Wright, Erikson, and McIver (1985), Steed and Moreland (2007), Bullock
and Rozell (2007b).